Independent analysis of artificial intelligence in business
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Management & Strategy

AI FOMO Is Not a Business Strategy

Executives are being told from every direction that they need to do something about AI. The pressure is evident, but the Fear Of Missing Out is a poor basis for deciding where to spend money.

Competitors are announcing new initiatives. Vendors are promising transformation. Employees are already using tools such as ChatGPT, Claude, and Copilot, sometimes without formal approval. Boards are asking what management plans to do next.

Moving first doesn't guarantee an advantage. The companies that get useful results from AI usually begin with a specific business problem. They understand how the current process works, what it costs, and what improvement would justify the investment. They know what they expect AI to accomplish before they purchase the technology.

The Predictable Mistake Management Makes

When management feels compelled to show progress, the response is often predictable. The company purchases an AI platform, provides copilots to a large group of employees, and launches several pilots at the same time. This creates activity and gives management something to report.

The problem is that activity can easily be mistaken for progress.

Six months later, the company may have subscription fees, integration expenses, new security concerns, and several unresolved questions about data use and ownership. What it often doesn't have is a clear answer to whether the technology improved anything.

In many cases, the technology itself isn't the primary problem. The company never defined what success would look like. No baseline was established, no operating metric was selected, and no one was given clear responsibility for evaluating the result.

The surveys and implementation reports reviewed for this site show the same issue repeatedly. Many companies report using AI, but far fewer can point to a measured financial or operational return. Some are not tracking return on investment at all.

That gap often starts before the purchase. The company buys the capability first and tries to reverse-engineer the business case later.

Cautious Is Not the Same as Behind

A competitor announcing an AI initiative doesn't prove that the initiative is producing value.

A press release may reflect a signed vendor agreement, a limited pilot, or a project that is still searching for a useful application. It doesn't tell anyone whether processing time declined, error rates improved, costs fell, or revenue increased.

Consider a hypothetical illustration of what moving fast without controls can buy. An insurance company, feeling the pressure to show progress, launches a customer facing AI chat assistant without a controlled pilot. Thirty days in, it discovers that prospective customers were receiving incorrect quotes and inaccurate information about auto policies because the model fabricated figures it didn't have. The same company routes billing questions to the assistant, and existing customers frustrated by wrong answers are writing bad reviews or moving to a competitor. The rushed deployment didn't produce an advantage; it produced complaints, remediation work, and a potential regulatory problem. This scenario is hypothetical, but similar failures have already reached the courts. In a widely reported 2024 decision, a Canadian tribunal held Air Canada responsible for refund terms its website chatbot invented, rejecting the argument that the chatbot was a separate entity and ordering the airline to honor what its own AI had told the customer.

Many AI projects will also be reduced or abandoned once companies encounter poor data, weak returns, integration problems, and governance concerns. Some organizations that appear to be ahead may simply be further along in discovering that their original approach was flawed.

A company that spends three months selecting the right workflow, preparing its data, assigning responsibility, and establishing controls will be in a stronger position than a competitor that deploys AI throughout the organization without that preparation.

At the end of the pilot, the careful company will know what worked, what did not work, and whether expansion is justified. The faster company may know little more than what its subscriptions cost.

The useful measures are not announcements or the number of employees given access to an AI tool. They are unit cost, processing time, throughput, error rates, revenue, and risk reduction.

The Questions That Come Before the Purchase

Before approving an AI investment, management should be able to answer seven basic questions:

  • What business problem is being addressed, stated in operational terms?
  • What does the current process cost today?
  • What specific improvement is expected from AI?
  • What data will the system require, and is that data usable?
  • What happens when the system produces an incorrect result, and who reviews it?
  • What risks are involved, and should legal counsel be included in the decision?
  • How will success be measured, against what baseline, and by what date?

A proposal that can't answer these questions isn't ready for funding. A polished demonstration does not replace a business case. Neither does a vendor's promise that the technology will transform the company.

This level of scrutiny isn't resistance to AI. It's standard capital allocation discipline.

Where AI Actually Tends to Make Sense

AI tends to be most useful in processes that have enough volume, repetition, and available data for the result to be measured.

Invoice processing is one example. AI can help extract information, identify exceptions, match invoices with purchase orders, and support accounts payable controls. Reconciliation and ledger analysis can also benefit when the objective is to identify unusual transactions or patterns that deserve human review.

Other practical applications include document review, routine customer support, demand forecasting, cash forecasting, quality inspection and predictive maintenance, and internal knowledge retrieval.

These uses have something important in common. The company can compare performance before and after implementation. It can measure whether the process became faster, less expensive, more accurate, or easier to manage.

A company under pressure to develop an AI strategy doesn't need to invent an entirely new business model. It should begin by looking for existing processes where delays, errors, repetitive work, or information gaps are already creating measurable costs.

Incremental Adoption Is a Strategy

A practical AI implementation doesn't need to begin with a company-wide transformation program.

Management can select one defined workflow, document its current performance, and run a controlled pilot. The pilot should include clear human approval points, assigned ownership, and a limited set of performance measures. Expansion should depend on the results.

This approach may appear slower at the beginning, but it produces information management can use. A successful pilot shows what the technology, data, controls, staffing, and integration actually require. An unsuccessful pilot can be stopped before it becomes an expensive enterprise commitment.

The company also becomes better at evaluating the next opportunity. Each completed project provides a clearer understanding of where AI fits, what it costs, and what level of oversight is required.

The Real Risk

Boards are right to ask how management is responding to AI. Ignoring the technology entirely would be a mistake.

Taking time to evaluate a use case, however, is unlikely to leave a company permanently behind. Spending heavily on poorly defined projects can waste budget, consume staff time, create new risks, and damage confidence in future AI initiatives.

AI should be treated as a business investment. Each project should have a defined problem, an accountable owner, a measurable baseline, an expected result, appropriate controls, and a date when management will decide whether to continue.

Companies that follow that process may make fewer announcements. They are also more likely to end up with AI systems that improve the business.

Sources and Notes

  • The deployment versus measured value pattern referenced above is documented, with full citations to McKinsey, Deloitte, Gartner, KPMG, and Thomson Reuters research, across this publication's agents analysis, accounting analysis, and legal analysis.